Feb 27, 2021 · Risk blindness is why we are starting to see Black Swans everywhere. It seems tied to COVID-19 and all the recent political and social turmoil that’s happening. Every new big event seems surprising, and it shouldn’t be.

The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight.

Dec 1, 2024 · Taleb argues that most people, including experts, are blind to these events due to cognitive biases, flawed models, and a tendency to focus on what is known. Instead of trying to predict Black Swans, Taleb suggests building resilience to their effects and positioning oneself to benefit from their occurrence.

Jun 9, 1995 · Blind Lyrics: Now some of us are weak / And some endure / And some people live their life / With a violence that’s pure and clean / But I saw a man cry once / Down on his knees / In the corner

Many industrial major accidents are colloquially described as black swans, when in fact they were entirely foreseeable and preventable if it were not for organisational blindness.

Feb 19, 2014 · New research suggests that by exploiting many types of data, managers can help prevent (or at least contain) the damage related to black swan events and other risky blind spots.

Feb 28, 2025 · This paper introduces the Blind Turkey Principle, demonstrating that unpredictability is not a feature of reality but a failure to recognize system drivers. By analyzing historical case studies, we show that Black Swans dissolve when …

We’re all susceptible to black swans and blind spots. That’s one of the prices for being human. What we can do is help each other notice them and avoid falling victim to them. That’s how we all get to the next level.

Feb 27, 2021 · It’s no wonder that we’re starting to resemble Thanksgiving turkeys, unable to spot emerging risk. Risk blindness is why we are starting to see Black Swans everywhere. It seems tied to COVID-19 and all the recent political and social turmoil that’s happening. Every new big event seems surprising, and it shouldn’t be.

Apr 26, 2021 · Nobel Prize winner and behavioral economist, Daniel Kahneman, suggests two primary blind spots leaders should be wary of: Blind to the obvious: This entails a lack of knowledge, where insufficient information renders you susceptible to surprises.