But the yield curve is still super-inverted at the short end; for example, the 10-year yield of 3.71% was still 141 basis points lower than the 3-month yield of 5.13% on Friday.

Key Takeaways The yield curve righted itself Wednesday after more than two years of a negative spread between the 10- and 2-year Treasury yields. However, the measure inverted again on Thursday.

Is a recession coming? A look at yield curve inversion and what it means for the economy. Learn about government bonds and economic indicators.

NEW YORK, July 29 (Reuters) - The longest and deepest U.S. Treasury yield curve inversion in history, a key bond market signal of an upcoming recession, could be nearing its end. While an inverted ...

An inverted yield curve is a visual representation of the performance of long-term securities versus short-term securities. Read on to understand what that really means.

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted, meaning short-term interest rates on treasury bonds were unusually higher than long term rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has come.

But given how the yield curve remained inverted for over two years without an economic recession ever actually taking shape, predictions of a so-called "soft landing" began holding water. Maybe we ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

An inverted yield curve has historically indicated a recession is on the way. The righting of the yield curve could be a positive sign, but some experts said the economy isn't out of the woods yet.

The longest interval between an inversion of the three month/10-year yield curve and a recession is 22 months, he has observed. "It's too early to rule the signal out like a false signal," he said.

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted, meaning short-term interest rates on treasury bonds were unusually higher than long term rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has come.