The financial market’s top recession warning, the inverted yield curve, looks ready to end its record stretch of flashing a ...

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in ... of the last few years. History tells us that ...

More recently, the yield curve inverted 18 months before the recession of December 2007 ... But the jobless rate remains at a ...

The resolution of the inverted 10-year and 3-month ... be the case - and we think it is - then recession would be a lock given the history of yield curve inversions and it would likely commence ...

An inversion of the yield curve—a chart plotting returns on debt of various maturities—historically has been a sign that a recession is on the way.

When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

Wall Street fears a recession may be coming. Key indicators including the inverted U.S. yield curve and the U.S. Federal ... U.S. unemployment remains close to historic lows.

All the talk about charts and yields is tough to digest, but an inversion in the yield curve is considered to be a reliable predictor of a recession. Wall Street tends to watch the relationship ...

An inversion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve has been seen as a recession warning sign for decades, and it looks like it’s about to light up again. WSJ’s Dion Rabouin explains why an inverted ...

This may explain why a recession has not materialized thus far, even though the yield curve has been inverted since mid ... their long-term averages (see chart below). One explanation is credit ...